Lawmakers in the lower house of the Polish parliament, the Sejm, have passed a bill implementing the European Union Markets in Crypto Assets Regulation (MiCA), amid a probe into the collapse of Zondacrypto, the country’s largest cryptocurrency exchange.

 

The passage of the bill marks a third attempt after the president vetoed earlier versions proposed by lawmakers. Following the latest parliamentary approval, the bill now awaits the president’s decision before it can become law.

 

The Polish government has until July 1, 2026, the end of the transitional period, to implement the MiCA framework. If the deadline is missed, virtual asset service providers risk having their licenses expire. Without valid authorization, crypto firms in Poland would no longer be permitted to provide crypto asset services to clients in Poland or across the European Union.

 

As a result, affected companies may be forced to shut down their operations in Poland or relocate to another EU member state in order to obtain a crypto asset service provider license, which is generally more costly and time-consuming. This requirement applies primarily to domestic crypto entities, while foreign crypto companies operating in Poland are expected to remain unaffected by this policy.

 

Zondacrypto Collapse

The passage of the bill adopting MiCA comes as Polish prosecutors have launched an investigation into the collapse of Zondacrypto, the country’s largest cryptocurrency exchange.

 

Zondacrypto has halted withdrawals for thousands of users since December 2025, leaving many unable to access their funds. According to Polish authorities, about 30,000 users have been affected, with estimated losses exceeding 350 million zlotys ($95.93 million).

 

Amid Zondacrypto’s financial struggles and its admission that it lost access to a cold wallet holding about 4,500 BTC, allegedly linked to its former CEO, who has been missing since 2022, Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk has alleged that the exchange’s collapse is linked to fraud and its existing ties with Russian mafia groups.

 

According to Tusk, Zondacrypto’s success comes from “Russian money linked to the so-called Bratva Mafia group and Russian intelligence agencies.” Describing its roots as sinister, Tusk accused Zondacrypto of sponsoring right-wing opposition politicians. By advancing the bill supporting MiCA, Tusk aims to reduce the ease with which cryptocurrencies are used to finance sabotage activities in the country.

 

 

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has filed an amicus brief in the United States Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit following a United States District Court decision involving Kalshi in Ohio.

 

 

Through this filing, the CFTC seeks to assert its exclusive jurisdiction over prediction markets and to overturn the ban previously imposed by Chief Judge Sarah D. Morrison of the United States District Court for the Southern District of Ohio.

 

“The federal district court in Ohio took an improperly narrow view of the Commission’s jurisdiction, and we are asking the Court of Appeals to correct that error,” said CFTC Chairman Michael S. Selig. “As I’ve said repeatedly, the CFTC will not allow overzealous state governments to undermine the agency’s longstanding authority over these markets.”

 

Kalshi’s Case Against Ohio

The March ban on Kalshi by an Ohio district court dates back to early 2025, when the Ohio Casino Control Commission (OCCC) issued a cease-and-desist order to Kalshi, instructing it to stop offering its sports event contracts in the state, alleging that those contracts were illegal.

 

Following this order, Kalshi sued state regulators and other state officials, seeking a preliminary injunction to block enforcement of the cease-and-desist order. However, the case was dismissed when Judge Sarah D. Morrison ruled against Kalshi, allowing state regulators to enforce the ban and later impose a $5 million fine on Kalshi for continuing to offer sports event contracts in the state.

 

Kalshi has now appealed to the United States Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit, seeking to overturn the ban. In its amicus brief filing, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) not only argues for the removal of the ban but also seeks to protect prediction market companies from what it describes as an ongoing campaign of state encroachment.

 

As part of its protective efforts, the CFTC has engaged in legal disputes with several U.S. states, including Wisconsin, Illinois, Arizona, Connecticut, and New York, over their regulatory stance and enforcement actions against prediction market companies.

 

Despite the challenging regulatory environment faced by prediction market companies, the sector has grown significantly. In 2025, annual trading volume across prediction market platforms rose to approximately $63.5 billion from $15.8 billion in 2024. The number of users across prediction market companies has also increased, with institutional investors showing greater interest and contributing more capital to these platforms.

 

 

The U.S. Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh as the next chair of the Federal Reserve on Wednesday, handing President Donald Trump a long-sought win and putting one of the most crypto-sympathetic figures in recent memory at the helm of the world's most powerful central bank.

 

The final tally was 54-45, and it wa a bit too close for comfort. In fact, it was the most partisan confirmation vote for a Fed chair in modern history, with only Pennsylvania Democrat Sen. John Fetterman crossing the aisle to support Warsh's nomination. The near party-line split underscores just how politically charged the Federal Reserve has become under Trump, who spent much of the past year publicly haranguing outgoing Chair Jerome Powell for not cutting rates fast enough.

 

A Confirmation That Almost Wasn't

Getting Warsh to this point was a rocky path. The nomination process stretched over months, at one point stalling entirely when Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC) refused to let the confirmation advance until the Justice Department dropped a criminal investigation into Powell. That probe, led by DC U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro, centered on alleged cost overruns at the Fed's Washington headquarters. A federal judge had ruled the investigation was essentially a pretext to pressure Powell into cutting rates or resigning.

 

The DOJ eventually closed the probe, clearing the path for Warsh. Though Pirro left the door open to reopening the case if the Fed's inspector general turns up evidence of wrongdoing. For now, the drama is over, and Warsh has his confirmation.

 

What Warsh Means for Crypto

Warsh isn't exactly a crypto maximalist. He has, at times, referred to certain digital asset projects as fraudulent or worthless. But his disclosed investments tell a deeper story. Earlier this year it emerged he holds positions in Polymarket, the decentralized prediction market, and Solana. He has also stated that Bitcoin "does not make me nervous," a phrase that might seem understated but represents a meaningful shift from the posture of most previous Fed leadership.

 

During his Senate confirmation hearing in April, Warsh told Sen. Cynthia Lummis (R-WY) that digital assets are "already part of the fabric of our financial services industry" and affirmed he believes they should be incorporated into America's broader financial ecosystem. That was enough for Lummis, one of the most vocal pro-crypto voices in Congress, who said after the vote that digital asset holders "finally have a leader at the Fed who is ready to deliver."

 

The CFTC's chairman Mike Selig, who has defended prediction markets against a string of state-level lawsuits this year, also welcomed the Warsh confirmation, saying he looked forward to working together. That kind of interagency alignment on digital assets would represent a notable departure from the fragmented, sometimes hostile regulatory environment crypto has dealt with in recent years.

 

Juan Leon, a senior investment strategist at Bitwise, put the significance plainly: "Kevin Warsh is the first Fed Chair to endorse Bitcoin and describe it as a useful signal for policymakers, reflecting a shift in institutional legitimacy for crypto. While he's known as an inflation hawk, his stated belief that rates can move lower as a result of AI-driven productivity gains provides a plausible path to more accommodative liquidity conditions for crypto assets."

 

Rate Cuts: Don't Hold Your Breath

Here's where things get complicated. Trump has made no secret of what he expects from Warsh, having reportedly joked earlier this year that he'd sue him if rates don't come down. But market expectations have shifted sharply, and not in the president's favor.

 

Fresh inflation data released Tuesday showed consumer prices rose 3.85% in the 12 months through April, the highest reading since May 2023 and well above the Fed's 2% target. Traders are pricing in essentially no rate cuts for the rest of the year; some are even calling for a hike, largely because energy prices have climbed sharply following escalating tensions in the Middle East that have snarled tanker traffic in the Strait of Hormuz.

 

Warsh himself has signaled some openness to easing, particularly if AI-driven productivity gains help cool inflation over time. But he's also a known inflation hawk from his first stint at the Fed between 2006 and 2011, when he was among those who felt post-crisis quantitative easing had gone too far. It's not entirely clear which Warsh shows up to that first FOMC meeting on June 16-17.

 

And it's worth noting: Warsh is just one of 12 votes on the Federal Open Market Committee. Even as chair, he doesn't have unilateral authority over rate decisions. Powell, for his part, will remain on the Fed's Board of Governors after Friday, when his term as chair expires, retaining his FOMC vote. It's an unusual arrangement, last seen nearly 80 years ago, and Powell has been explicit about his motivations: he wants to protect the institution from what he has described as "unprecedented" legal and political pressure.

 

A New Era, With a Lot of Asterisks

Warsh also takes the helm at a Fed dealing with serious internal turbulence. Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook is locked in a legal fight with the president, who is trying to remove her on allegations of mortgage fraud, a case now making its way toward the Supreme Court. Meanwhile, Warsh will have to divest significant holdings, as he's set to become the wealthiest Fed chair on record, with a portfolio well north of $100 million.

 

Bitcoin barely reacted to the confirmation news, trading around $79,500 in the hours following the Senate vote, according to CoinGecko. But the longer-term implications could be meaningful. Whether or not rate cuts materialize, Warsh's ascent signals a growing institutional acceptance of digital assets at the highest levels of American financial policy. For a sector that has spent years fighting for legitimacy, that's not nothing.

 

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission has been making the rounds. CFTC Chairman Michael Selig confirmed this month that his agency is in active talks with all major professional sports leagues in the United States, as regulators scramble to get ahead of potential insider trading problems on prediction markets.

 

"We're talking to all the sports leagues because it's critical that they've got the best information as to what's manipulable in their markets and where the insider trading risks are," Selig said on the Faro Radio podcast. The comments come after months of escalating alarm in Washington over the explosion of prediction market trading tied to sports, politics, and military events.

 

A Market That Grew Too Fast

The numbers tell the story. Monthly trading volume on prediction markets has jumped from around $1.2 billion in early 2025 to over $20 billion by January 2026, according to blockchain research firm TRM Labs. Sports event contracts alone now make up nearly 90% of all bets placed on Kalshi over the past year, according to the Congressional Research Service. That kind of scale, combined with the potential for people with inside knowledge to profit on it, has made regulators nervous.

 

"The biggest issue that comes up is manipulation and insider trading in these markets," Selig told Front Office Sports. And the regulator isn't just talking. In March 2026, the CFTC and Major League Baseball entered into a first-of-its-kind memorandum of understanding, establishing a formal framework for confidential information-sharing between the federal agency and the league. It was a signal that more deals could be coming.

 

Leagues Are Moving, Too

The NHL, MLS, and MLB have all inked prediction market partnerships with Polymarket and Kalshi over the past several months. The NBA is reportedly in active talks with both platforms. The NFL has been the notable holdout, citing integrity concerns, and Selig declined to confirm whether those conversations are ongoing. What is clear is that the agency sees league cooperation as essential. The CFTC has told prediction markets it expects them to share information with leagues about which categories of individuals should be restricted from trading, including players, coaches, referees, trainers, and data partners.

 

The platforms themselves moved to tighten their own rules in March. Kalshi introduced new technological guardrails to block athletes from trading on contracts tied to their own leagues, and politicians from betting on their own races. Polymarket updated its rulebook the same day to prohibit trading on any information that would "violate a preexisting duty or obligation of trust," even when that information was obtained secondhand.

 

The urgency is partly driven by what has already happened in other markets. In April 2026, the CFTC filed its first-ever insider trading complaint involving event contracts, charging an active-duty U.S. Army soldier with using classified intelligence about a military operation in Venezuela to trade Polymarket contracts, generating more than $400,000 in profit. The DOJ has since signaled it will pursue criminal prosecutions for insider trading on prediction markets as well. Jay Clayton, the U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York, said in February that his office expects to bring fraud cases tied to prediction market trading.

 

Sports have precedent of their own. The NBA's lifetime ban of Jontay Porter and the federal charges hanging over former Miami Heat guard Terry Rozier both stem from sports betting misconduct. Prediction markets are a different product legally, but the underlying concern, that people with privileged access to information are using it to profit, is exactly the same.

 

Congress Is Watching

Capitol Hill is paying attention, too. A coalition of Democratic lawmakers sent a letter to the CFTC in late April urging the agency to issue a formal rule prohibiting certain types of event contracts and curbing insider trading. The letter, led by Sen. Jeff Merkley of Oregon, described the rapid growth of prediction markets as an "erosion of integrity" that demands regulatory action. Separate legislation has been introduced that would bar government officials from using prediction markets entirely and prohibit event contracts tied to elections, war, and sports.

 

The CFTC, for its part, published an Advanced Notice of Proposed Rulemaking in March seeking public comment on whether to amend regulations governing prediction market event contracts. Selig has framed the issue in stark terms, drawing comparisons to the offshore drift that plagued crypto markets before FTX. "I'm concerned we'll see the same with prediction markets if we keep pushing it offshore into the unregulated space," he said.

 

For now, the talks with sports leagues continue. Whether they translate into formal agreements on the scale of the MLB deal, and how quickly, may determine how effectively the CFTC can police the fastest-growing corner of the derivatives market before the next scandal breaks.

 

Gemini Olympus, LLC, an affiliate of the Gemini cryptocurrency exchange, has recently received a Derivatives Clearing Organization license from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, enabling it to act as the clearinghouse for Gemini’s regulated derivatives trading, including prediction markets.

 

“Today marks a major milestone in Gemini’s marketplace expansion. In addition to our crypto spot marketplace, Gemini now has a full-stack, end-to-end marketplace for predictions as well as futures, options, and more,” said Cameron Winklevoss, Gemini’s president. He added that the DCO license is a major stepping stone toward Gemini achieving its goal of building a super app that allows users to fulfill all their existing and future financial needs in one place.

 

 

With this newly secured DCO license, together with the Designated Contract Market license that Gemini Titan, LLC, another Gemini entity, secured around December of last year, Gemini is now one step closer to obtaining the full suite of CFTC derivatives licenses.

 

Once it secures the Futures Commission Merchant license, the final component of the CFTC derivatives licensing framework, the company would be able to position itself as a fully regulated derivatives platform in the United States, offering U.S. customers a range of products, including crypto futures, options, and perpetual futures.

 

Gemini Joins Exchanges in Crypto Derivatives Push

With the Derivatives Clearing Organization license now secured and the Futures Commission Merchant license in sight, Gemini has joined a host of other crypto exchanges, including Kraken, Crypto.com, and the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, in the race to position themselves as all-in-one derivatives platforms.

 

To break into the derivatives market, Payward, the parent company of the cryptocurrency exchange Kraken, acquired Bitnomial, a U.S.-based derivatives exchange, for $550 million last month. Like Kraken, Coinbase has also taken the acquisition route to enter the crypto derivatives market, acquiring Deribit Exchange for $2.9 billion and The Clearing Company for an undisclosed amount.

 

The race to provide complete crypto derivatives offerings is not unique to cryptocurrency exchanges, as prediction market companies like Kalshi and Polymarket are also making efforts to enter the crypto derivatives market.

 

Through Kinetic Markets LLC, one of its affiliates, Kalshi recently secured the Futures Commission Merchant license, along with the Designated Contract Market license it already holds, with efforts underway to secure the Derivatives Clearing Organization license, which is the final license required.

 

 

Prediction market platform Polymarket is reportedly in talks with investors to raise 400 million dollars. If successful, this would place the prediction market company at a valuation of 15 billion dollars, up from its current $9 billion.

 

While there is still no official confirmation from Polymarket regarding this news, the fundraising is expected to drive Polymarket’s growing influence in the expanding prediction market sector, giving it a competitive advantage over its competitors, particularly Kalshi.

 

This move comes a few weeks after Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), invested 600 million dollars into Polymarket. This followed an earlier investment of 1 billion dollars into the prediction market company a few months prior.

 

So far, Polymarket has raised over $2 billion across several fundraising rounds from venture capital firms and investors, including Intercontinental Exchange, Blockchain Capital, Polychain Capital, Dragonfly Capital, Coinbase Ventures, 1789 Capital, Ethereum co founder Vitalik Buterin, Aave founder Stani Kulechov, among several other investors.

 

Prediction Market Firms Grapple With Regulatory Uncertainty

Despite how remarkable the global prediction market sector has grown in recent times, prediction market companies still face several regulatory challenges, ranging from state level lawsuits to nationwide bans.

 

Several U.S. states, including New Jersey, Maryland, Massachusetts, and Arizona, have taken strict regulatory action against prediction market companies, with many state regulators alleging that these companies offer illegal sports event contracts. At least 12 states in the U.S. have filed civil lawsuits against prediction market companies.

 

Outside the U.S., prediction market companies have also faced strict regulatory scrutiny. Just this year alone, about four countries in Europe, Portugal, the Netherlands, Bulgaria, and Hungary, have imposed nationwide bans on Polymarket’s activities.

 

However, despite this harsh regulatory landscape, the global prediction market continues to grow. In the most recent quarter, global trading volume across prediction market companies exceeded $ 26 billion, a 90 percent increase from the previous quarter. This volume, according to the global equity research firm Bernstein, is expected to reach $1 trillion by 2030.

 

 

For more than two decades, the $25,000 minimum equity requirement loomed over retail like a barrier to the VIP section of the presitgious Day Traders Club. You either had the cash or you didn't get in. On April, 2026, the SEC quietly pulled that barrier down. The club is now open to all, but with some risks to entry.

 

The commission approved FINRA's sweeping overhaul of Rule 4210, formally eliminating the Pattern Day Trader (PDT) designation that has governed margin accounts since 2001. Under the old framework, any trader who executed four or more same-day round-trips within a rolling five-business-day window got slapped with the PDT label, and with it, a mandatory $25,000 account minimum. Miss that threshold and your broker locked you out until your balance recovered. It was deeply unpopular among smaller retail participants.

 

A Relic From the Dot-Com Era

The rule traces its origins to the wreckage of the dot-com bust. In 2001, regulators watched retail traders pile into overvalued tech stocks on margin, and when the bubble popped, the losses were severe. The $25,000 requirement was meant as a capital buffer, a way of ensuring that anyone placing rapid, leveraged bets had enough cushion to absorb the blowback. And the logic made some sense.

 

What it didn't account for was what markets would look like 25 years later. Commission-free trading arrived. Fractional shares went mainstream. Zero-day-to-expiration options exploded in popularity. According to Cboe Global Markets, 0DTE SPX options averaged 2.3 million contracts daily in 2025 and accounted for 59% of total S&P 500 index options volume, a fivefold jump in three years. Retail traders now represent roughly 50 to 60% of that activity. The old PDT rule wasn't built for any of this. The market has evolved and the rules need to evolve with it.

 

What Replaces It

The new framework ditches the trade-counting approach entirely and moves to a risk-based intraday margin model. Rather than flagging accounts based on how many trades they execute, brokers will now be required to maintain real-time margin calculations tied to a trader's actual position exposure. The SEC has essentially acknowledged what critics argued for years: a trader with $5,000 taking modest, well-hedged positions isn't necessarily more dangerous than one with $50,000 swinging leveraged concentrated bets.

 

FINRA's updated standards mandate that member firms implement algorithmic circuit breakers capable of blocking or liquidating trades the moment an account's margin deficit exceeds its available collateral. It's a more sophisticated system, arguably better calibrated to modern risk than a fixed dollar threshold written when broadband internet was still a luxury.

 

Full rollout across all brokerage platforms is expected to take time, with industry observers projecting implementation timelines stretching from mid-2026 into 2028 for some firms. That said, several retail-focused platforms have already signaled plans to debut PDT-free account structures as early as May 2026. Robinhood shares jumped roughly 7.8% and Webull climbed around 8.9% in the immediate aftermath of the SEC's announcement.

 

The Bitcoin Angle

The PDT rule never technically applied to crypto markets. Bitcoin trades 24/7 on venues that operate outside the traditional brokerage framework, which is why many retail crypto traders have never encountered it. But the practical implications of this regulatory shift for digital assets are hard to ignore.

 

The same retail cohort that speculates in 0DTE options and meme stocks is also the crowd most active in Bitcoin. With the $25,000 barrier removed from traditional markets, that capital doesn't necessarily stay put. Traders newly freed to day trade equities aggressively might also rotate liquidity into crypto, particularly during periods when Bitcoin's intraday swings regularly exceed 3 to 5%. The asset currently trades around $74,500 and commands roughly 59% dominance across a $2.54 trillion crypto market cap.

 

There's also a broader structural point. The PDT elimination signals a new regulatory positioning that favors market access over capital gatekeeping. That's a big shift that is worth watching, particularly as the SEC and other agencies continue to shape how crypto products, broker-dealers, and retail custody arrangements get regulated in the years ahead.

 

Risks Haven't Gone Away

Critics of the rule change aren't hard to find. Consumer protection advocates point out that the $25,000 threshold, whatever its flaws, did filter out inexperienced traders who might otherwise blow up small accounts on leveraged intraday positions. The dynamic margining model is more nuanced, but it also places more responsibility on brokers to enforce risk controls in real time, and on traders to understand what they're actually doing.

 

For firms with institutional-grade margin infrastructure already in place, this is a competitive advantage. For consumer apps that bolted on trading features as an afterthought, meeting the new real-time risk monitoring requirements is going to require meaningful investment. Not every platform is going to get this right immediately.

 

But for retail traders themselves, the opportunity is real, but so is the downside. The PDT rule never stopped people from losing money. It just slowed down how fast some of them could do it. The new framework removes a structural barrier, not the underlying risk of trading frequently in volatile markets with leverage.

 

Most Fed chair nominations generate debate about interest rate philosophy, inflation targets, and balance sheet management. Kevin Warsh's confirmation is going to involve a lot of that, sure, but it is also going to involve a fairly lengthy conversation about DeFi lending protocols, Ethereum Layer 2 networks, and a Bitcoin Lightning Network startup.

 

Warsh, President Trump's nominee to chair the Federal Reserve, cleared the last bureaucratic hurdle before his Senate confirmation hearing when he submitted his required financial disclosure to the U.S. Office of Government Ethics. The filing reveals combined assets with his wife of at least $192 million. But it's the crypto positions scattered throughout the document, held through a web of venture fund structures, that are drawing the most attention from the digital asset industry right now.

 

Not Just A Casual Holder

Warsh did not just pick up some bitcoin through a Coinbase account during the 2021 bull run and forget about it. Through two fund structures, DCM Investments 10 LLC (via a vehicle called Abstract Holdings) and a series of funds labeled AVF I, AVF II, AVF III, and AVGF I and II, he holds equity positions in more than two dozen blockchain and digital asset companies. The breadth is notable: DeFi lending, decentralized derivatives, Layer 1 and Layer 2 networks, prediction markets, crypto neobanks, and Bitcoin payments infrastructure.

 

On the DeFi and trading side, the portfolio includes Compound, one of the foundational algorithmic crypto lending protocols, alongside dYdX, a decentralized derivatives exchange, and Lighter, a decentralized exchange protocol. On the infrastructure side, he has exposure to Solana, the high-throughput Layer 1 blockchain, Optimism and Blast, two Ethereum scaling networks, and Zero Gravity, a Layer 2 AI blockchain platform. Bitcoin-specific holdings include Flashnet, a Lightning Network trading platform, and a direct position in the Lightning Network itself.

 

There are also positions in Polychain and Scalar Capital, two prominent crypto investment firms, plus Polymarket, the prediction market platform, and several crypto-enabled neobanks including OnJuno and Lemon Cash. Rounding it out: Dapper Labs (best known for NBA Top Shot), Friends With Benefits, a Web3 community platform, and Crossmint, an NFT developer tools company. Warsh also previously held a stake in Bitwise Asset Management, the issuer of one of the spot Bitcoin ETFs, though that position does not appear in the current filing.

 

Selling liquid token positions is straightforward. Unwinding LP stakes in Polychain or venture fund structures is not, and federal ethics rules generally impose a one-year cooling-off period on matters directly affecting recently divested financial interests. That creates a potentially awkward situation given what the Fed has on its plate.

 

Congress is actively working through stablecoin legislation that would define which institutions can issue and custody stablecoins, directly affecting DeFi protocols and crypto neobanks of the type in Warsh's portfolio. The Fed's supervisory stance on whether banks can custody digital assets remains one of the most contested open questions in the industry. And while political appetite for a U.S. CBDC has cooled considerably, the Fed's ongoing research in that area intersects with the payment network infrastructure Warsh holds exposure to through Lightning Network and Solana.

 

Could Be Some Complications

The broader financial profile adds another layer. Warsh earned $10.2 million in consulting fees from Duquesne Family Office, the investment arm of Stanley Druckenmiller, one of the more prominent macro investors in the crypto space. Additional consulting income came from GoldenTree Asset Management ($1.55 million), Cerberus Capital Management ($750,000), and Brevan Howard ($750,000), all firms with meaningful digital asset trading operations. His speaking fee circuit in just the first half of 2025 alone topped $780,000 from firms including TPG, State Street, and Warburg Pincus. Combined with spouse Jane Lauder's estimated $1.9 billion net worth, Warsh would enter the Fed as one of the wealthiest chairs in the institution's modern history.

 

Senate Banking Committee chair Tim Scott said Tuesday that a confirmation hearing is scheduled for next week. However, Senator Thom Tillis of North Carolina is blocking any final vote until the Justice Department drops its criminal investigation of current Fed Chair Jerome Powell, whose term expires May 15. The crypto portfolio will almost certainly come up in questioning.

 

On one hand, a Fed chair who has personally sought out exposure to DeFi protocols and blockchain infrastructure is unlikely to approach crypto with the indifference or hostility that has characterized past leadership. On the other, the mandatory divestiture and recusal obligations could actively limit his ability to influence policy in the industry's favor during his first year in office, precisely when some of the most consequential regulatory decisions are expected to land. It is a double-edged sword, and the confirmation hearing will be the first real test of how Warsh plans to navigate it.

 

The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA), Hong Kong’s primary banking regulator, has issued its first stablecoin issuer licenses to the Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation (HSBC) and Anchorpoint Financial Limited, in line with the city’s new stablecoin framework.

 

The licenses, which were granted on April 10, represent the first batch issued under Hong Kong’s Stablecoins Ordinance framework. The process was competitive, involving 36 applicants, with selections based on several factors, including risk management, credible use cases, and compliance readiness.

 

With these licenses granted, HSBC, one of Hong Kong’s largest and oldest banks, and Anchorpoint Financial Limited, a joint financial venture led by Standard Chartered Bank, Hong Kong Telecommunications (HKT), and Animoca Brands, are now a step closer to achieving their stablecoin plans.

 

HSBC plans to launch a Hong Kong dollar-denominated stablecoin by the second half of 2026. The stablecoin will maintain a one-to-one peg with the Hong Kong dollar and will be backed by high-quality liquid assets held in segregated accounts. It will also be integrated into two of HSBC’s consumer applications, the PayMe app, which already has more than 3.3 million users, and the HSBC HK Mobile Banking app.

 

With this integration, HSBC users will be able to perform peer-to-peer transfers and peer-to-merchant payments using the Hong Kong dollar-backed stablecoin directly within HSBC applications.

 

Anchorpoint Financial Limited also plans to launch a Hong Kong dollar-pegged stablecoin, with its first rollout expected this quarter. While the stablecoin is intended to support the digital economy, including cross-border and local payments, Anchorpoint’s initial focus will be on institutional investors and business partners, with retail users to follow at a later stage.

 

With this first batch of stablecoin issuer licenses and additional approvals underway, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority aims to address financial challenges in Hong Kong and support the development of the city’s digital asset industry.

 

“The granting of stablecoin issuer licenses is an important milestone for the development of digital assets in Hong Kong. We look forward to the issuers launching their businesses according to their plans, exploring growth opportunities while properly managing risks,” said Eddie Yue, Chief Executive of the HKMA. “We hope their promotion of regulated stablecoins will address pain points in financial and economic activities, create value for both individuals and businesses, and support the healthy development of digital assets in Hong Kong.”

 

Hong Kong Stablecoin Ordinance

The Hong Kong Stablecoin Ordinance is a regulatory framework passed into law by Hong Kong's Legislative Council in August 2025. The framework establishes a comprehensive licensing and supervisory regime specifically for fiat-backed stablecoins.

 

Under this framework, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority sets standards for stablecoin issuers seeking licenses in the jurisdiction. These include requirements related to financial resources, reserve assets, risk management, and anti-money laundering and counter-financing of terrorism compliance, among others.

 

Although Hong Kong’s stablecoin regime is considered one of the strictest in the world, it is designed to promote trust and support the long term adoption of stablecoins rather than allow unregulated growth that could ultimately lead to systemic risks.

 

 

Polymarket just announced what it is calling the biggest infrastructure change in its history. The on-chain prediction market platform is rolling out a rebuilt trading engine, a new smart contract architecture, and its own stablecoin, Polymarket USD, over the next two to three weeks. Whether you follow prediction markets closely or just heard about Polymarket during the last election cycle, this is a huge shift on how the protocol operates.

 

A New Stablecoin Built for the Platform

The centerpiece of the upgrade is Polymarket USD, a new collateral token that will replace the platform's current use of USDC.e. If you're not familiar, USDC.e is a bridged version of Circle's USDC stablecoin. It works fine, mostly, but it relies on cross-chain bridge infrastructure to exist on Polygon, which adds friction and a layer of risk that a platform handling this much trading volume probably shouldn't be comfortable with.

 

Polymarket USD will be backed 1:1 with Circle's native USDC, giving the company direct control over its settlement infrastructure for the first time. That's a bigger deal than it sounds. Control over your own collateral token means tighter liquidity management, more predictable settlement, and a foundation for whatever the company wants to build next.

 

For most regular users, the transition is supposed to be seamless. The platform's frontend will handle the conversion automatically with a one-time approval. Advanced users and developers running bots or API integrations are a different story. Those folks will need to update their SDKs and manually call a wrap function on the new Collateral Onramp contract to convert funds into Polymarket USD. The team says it will give at least a week's advance notice before any order book cancellations happen.

 

The Exchange Itself Is Getting a Full Rebuild

Beyond the stablecoin, Polymarket is launching CTF Exchange V2, a redesigned matching engine that processes orders faster and at lower gas costs. The updated Central Limit Order Book blends off-chain order placement with on-chain settlement.. The new order structure trims should reduce complexity for developers and improve execution across the board.

 

One notable addition is EIP-1271 support, which lets smart contract wallets, such as multi-signature wallets, interact with the platform directly without needing intermediaries.

 

The POLY Token Question

The announcement has predictably reignited speculation about POLY, Polymarket's long-rumored native governance token. The platform's chief marketing officer confirmed back in October 2025 that a POLY airdrop is in the works, contingent on completing a strong U.S. relaunch. But Monday's announcement makes no mention of POLY at all, and ironically... the odds on Polymarket itself currently put the chance of a POLY launch before May at just 11%

 

The speculation isn't really unfounded. Polymarket has historically relied on UMA's optimistic oracle system to resolve market outcomes, a setup where token holders vote to settle disputes. That system has faced criticism, particularly during geopolitically sensitive markets, where large token holders can exert outsized influence. A native governance token could eventually allow Polymarket to bring dispute resolution in-house, separating trading activity from outcome validation. Whether that's still  the plan remains unclear.

 

What's Next For Polymarket

The company, founded in 2020, is reportedly seeking a new funding round at a valuation near $20 billion. Last month, Intercontinental Exchange, the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, made a $600 million direct cash investment in the platform. That type of institutional backing puts a lot of pressure on the infrastructure to perform like a proper exchange.

 

Polymarket also registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission in July 2025 after shutting down U.S. operations in 2022. An invite-only U.S. version of the platform has since launched under a regulatory no-action letter. The migration to a CFTC-registered model, combined with building settlement infrastructure around a regulated stablecoin issuer like Circle, is consistent with a company that wants to operate in the U.S. long-term, not just avoid regulators.

 

The rollout is expected to happen over the next two to three weeks. But there are some real risks here: any smart contract migration carries execution risk, and there could be liquidity fragmentation as traders straddle two collateral systems during the transition window. Whether Polymarket USD will face third-party reserve audits comparable to what Circle applies to native USDC is also an open question.

 

Still, if the upgrade goes smoothly, Polymarket will emerge with a cleaner technical foundation, lower transaction costs, and better tools for institutional participants. All of that should translate into significantly higher trading volume and a broader institutional footprint. But these next few weeks should tell us a lot.

 

NYSE Arca filed a rule change with the Securities and Exchange Commission to strip out the 25,000-contract position and exercise limits that had been capping options tied to 11 spot Bitcoin and Ether exchange-traded funds. NYSE American submitted an identical proposal the same day. The SEC did not bother with its usual 30-day review window. The changes went live immediately.

 

That kind of regulatory speed is not something markets see often, and it tells you something about where things stand right now.

 

The products covered read like a who’s who of the crypto ETF space: BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), Fidelity’s Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC), ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB), Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF, Bitwise Bitcoin ETF, Grayscale Ethereum Trust, Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust, Bitwise Ethereum ETF, iShares Ethereum Trust, and Fidelity’s Ethereum Fund. Together they represent hundreds of billions in assets under management and the bulk of institutional Bitcoin and Ether exposure in the U.S. market.

 

 

What Does This Mean?

The 25,000-contract cap was put in place when crypto ETF options first launched, partly as a precaution against volatility, partly as a way for regulators to ease into unfamiliar territory. It made sense at the time. It does not make much sense anymore.

 

Under the new framework, position limits for these products will be set under the same standard rules that govern other equity options, a formula tied to each fund’s trading volume and shares outstanding. For something as liquid as IBIT, that could mean position limits north of 250,000 contracts. The practical effect is that institutions can now build and hedge far larger positions without running into hard ceilings.

 

The other big change is FLEX options. These are customizable contracts where traders can set their own strike prices, expiration dates, and exercise styles rather than being locked into standardized terms. FLEX options have long been available for commodity ETFs like the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) and iShares Silver Trust (SLV). Bringing that same capability to crypto ETFs is not a minor footnote. It opens the door to the kind of structured product engineering that institutional desks have been waiting to apply to digital assets.

 

For a hedge fund running a long Bitcoin position through an ETF, the ability to hedge efficiently via options is not optional. It is a basic operational requirement. The old 25,000-contract cap was not just a theoretical constraint, it was the kind of friction that makes compliance officers nervous and portfolio managers frustrated.

 

Removing it changes the calculus. Risk systems that already handle equity options can now be applied to crypto ETF products using the same logic. Legal teams work within a rulebook they already understand. That reduction in operational overhead is not trivial for large-scale participants.

 

FLEX options matter for a slightly different reason. They are what you need to build structured products, overlay programs, and basis trades at scale. Banks and asset managers have been doing this with gold and silver ETFs for years.

 

 

Moving In One Driection

NYSE Arca and NYSE American are not doing anything in isolation here. MEMX filed comparable changes in February. Cboe did the same in March. With Monday’s filings, every major U.S. options exchange has now completed the same transition. That kind of synchronized movement across competing venues is a signal, not a coincidence.

 

Separately, Nasdaq ISE has a proposal still under SEC review that would push the position limit for IBIT options specifically to one million contracts. If that goes through, it would put IBIT options in the same tier as the largest traditional equity products in the market.

 

None of the core investor protections have been removed. Large position holders still face reporting requirements. Exchanges continue to monitor for manipulation. Broker-dealer capital requirements for carrying options positions remain in place. The architecture of oversight has not changed, only the room to operate within it.

 

 

The Big Picture

It was not long ago that getting a spot Bitcoin ETF approved in the United States felt like it might never happen. Then in January 2024, it did. Since then, the market has moved faster than most people expected. Options launched. Volume grew. Institutional flows came in. And now the plumbing is being upgraded to handle what those institutions actually need.

 

The crypto ETF options market is not just a retail product anymore, if it ever really was. The rule changes this week confirm what the trading data has been suggesting for a while: serious money is here, and the infrastructure is catching up to meet it.

 

What comes next is worth watching. With FLEX trading unlocked and position limits tied to real liquidity metrics rather than arbitrary caps, the product design possibilities open up considerably. Yield-generating strategies, principal-protected notes, volatility overlays, all of it becomes more viable when the options market can actually absorb the size.

 

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on Wednesday approved Nasdaq’s proposal to launch a pilot program for tokenized stock trading.

 

The proposal, first filed in September 2025, sought SEC approval to allow trading of both traditional and tokenized versions of high-volume stocks on the Nasdaq exchange. With the program now approved, traders will be able to trade both traditional stocks and their tokenized counterparts on the Nasdaq. 

 

 

 

These tokenized stocks, according to the approval filing, will trade on the same order book at the same price, under the same ticker, with the same identifying number and rights as their traditional counterparts.

 

The pilot program will not be open to everyone. According to the SEC approval filing, participation will be limited to eligible participants. While Nasdaq has not disclosed the criteria, participants are likely to include Nasdaq-approved broker-dealers and firms approved by the Depository Trust Company (DTC).

 

It is also important to note that these tokenized stocks will be limited to securities in the Russell 1000 index, which tracks the 1,000 largest publicly traded companies in the United States, as well as exchange-traded funds that track the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 indices.

 

 

The Booming Tokenized Stocks Market

The tokenized stocks and equities market has experienced a remarkable surge over the past few months, growing from around $32 million at the start of 2025 to $963 million by January 2026, an increase of approximately 3,000%. 

 

This growth has been attributed to the wider accessibility and faster settlement times offered by tokenized stocks compared with their traditional counterparts.

 

A wave of large fintech and crypto companies has also entered the tokenized equity market. In 2024, the cryptocurrency exchange Robinhood built a custom layer-2 blockchain for tokenization and began offering tokenized U.S. stocks to European users the following year.

 

Other cryptocurrency exchanges, including Kraken, Gemini, and eToro, have also begun offering tokenized U.S. stocks across multiple blockchains, such as Solana, BNB Chain, Arbitrum, and Ethereum. Most recently, Kraken, in partnership with Backed Finance, launched xChange, an on-chain trading engine for tokenized equities.

 

With the rapid attention and growth the tokenized equities market has seen, its market capitalization is projected by multiple research reports to reach trillions of dollars in the coming years.