Bitcoin surged to $71,200 on Monday as investors are optimisitc on de-escalation of the Iran conflict.

 

The move started when President Trump posted on Truth Social that he had instructed the Department of War to postpone planned strikes against Iranian power plants and energy infrastructure for five days, following what he called "very good and productive" talks with Tehran. Crypto jumped roughly 5% on the news. Ether climbed above $2,100, BNB pushed through $650, and XRP traded above $1.40. Oil plunged around 11%, S&P 500 futures gained nearly 4%, and global markets added an estimated $2.5 trillion in value within about 20 minutes.

 

Then Iran's state-affiliated Fars News Agency cited an unidentified source denying any talks had taken place. Gains started reversing almost immediately. Bitcoin is now up about 2.5% on the day and down roughly 5% on the week, sitting just under $71,000 after hitting an intraday high of $71,224 per CoinGecko data.

 

The session is the latest chapter in a conflict that has rattled crypto markets since Operation Epic Fury launched on February 28, when the U.S. and Israel struck targets across Iran and killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. Iran's subsequent blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for global oil flows, has kept energy prices elevated and risk appetite suppressed. The Federal Reserve, meeting earlier this month against that backdrop, revised its 2026 inflation forecast upward to 2.7% and signaled a higher-for-longer stance on rates.

 

Despite the chaos, Bitcoin has held above its pre-war price level, a fact that has not gone unnoticed. When the strikes began on a Saturday morning and every traditional market was closed, crypto was the only liquid venue available for investors to respond. That 24/7 trading reality, once seen as a volatility risk, has started looking more like a feature.

 

The five-day pause, if it holds at all, does not end the conflict. Iran continues to strike targets across the Gulf, and Israel would need to sign on to any broader ceasefire. Israel has publicly said it has thousands of remaining targets and requires at least three more weeks of operations. Prediction markets currently favor a ceasefire by late April at the earliest.

 

Bitcoin's 30-day implied volatility index has bounced to 60%, and $791 million in total leveraged positions have been wiped across crypto markets this session according to CoinGlass, with $425 million of those being longs. The clock on Trump's five-day window is ticking, and so is the market's patience.

 

 

There was a surge in crypto withdrawals minutes after the U.S. and Israel launched targeted military airstrikes in Tehran, Iran’s capital, last Saturday.

 

In a recent post, London-based blockchain analytics company Elliptic gave a report on the aftermath of the airstrikes in Iran. Elliptic reported a significant increase in crypto withdrawals from Nobitex, Iran's largest cryptocurrency exchange.

 

According to the firm, outgoing transaction volume from Nobitex spiked by over 700% within minutes after the first airstrike hit Tehran on Saturday, with crypto outflows reaching nearly $3 million in a single hour that same day.

 

Image credit: elliptic.co

 

 

Further tracing these funds, Elliptic reported that most of the withdrawals were sent to foreign crypto exchanges, potentially indicating intense capital flight amid uncertainty in the region.

 

"Nobitex allows rials to be converted to cryptoassets, which can then be withdrawn to any external wallet…initial tracing of recent outflows from Nobitex suggests that the funds are being sent to overseas cryptoasset exchanges," Elliptic stated.

 

Although this outflow persisted for most of that day, it fell sharply afterward, an event attributed to the nation's widespread internet outage. Yes, there was a 99% decline in internet connectivity in the country.

 

However, contrary to the "capital flight" situation being reported by Elliptic, blockchain intelligence firm TRM Labs seems to hold a different view and cautions against drawing a "capital flight" conclusion.

 

"It appears that the country's crypto ecosystem is not showing signs of acceleration or capital flight, but instead is experiencing a downturn in both transactions and volume as the regime enforces strict internet blackouts," TRM Labs said.

 

 

The State of Crypto in Iran

Despite ongoing unrest, the Iranian cryptocurrency economy appears to be among the largest crypto markets in the world. In 2025, over $10 billion in volume was processed, with Nobitex processing over $5 billion.

 

Iranian crypto exchanges have had to deal with massive crypto outflows, the largest of which occurred on January 9 of this year, after the nationwide demonstrations in the country.

Image credit: elliptic.co

 

To adapt to changing events, cryptocurrency exchanges in the country have had to make operational adjustments and move to risk-containment modes.

 

Wallex, a domestic crypto exchange, suspended crypto withdrawals until further notice, citing infrastructure instability. Nobitex, Aban Tether, and Ramzinex, which are all Iranian-based cryptocurrency exchanges, have also had to suspend deposits and withdrawals.

 

However, despite these challenges, cryptocurrencies and digital assets have come to the rescue of many who have had to cope with the several economic sanctions plaguing the country.