
Gemini Space Station (NASDAQ: GEMI) got a real boost from Wall Street on Thursday evening. Shares jumped roughly 7% in after-hours trading, climbing to $6.45 after the company reported its fourth-quarter results and laid out a vision for where it is headed next. For a stock that has been taking a real beating the last few months, this feels like it could be a turning point, or at least the beginning of one.
The company went public on the Nasdaq in September 2025, raising around $425 million and generating a lot of excitement. The stock has since pulled back significantly, but Thursday's earnings report finally gave investors something that they can feel good about again.
The headline from the results was not actually about trading at all. For the first time ever, revenue from Gemini's services and interest-based products surpassed what it made from trading fees. Services revenue rose 33% compared to the prior quarter, hitting $26.5 million. That might sound like dry accounting detail, but it matters a lot. It means Gemini is no longer entirely dependent on whether people are actively buying and selling crypto on any given day. That is a big deal for a business trying to grow steadily rather than just riding the waves of a notoriously volatile market.
A lot of that services growth came from Gemini's credit card, which functions like a rewards card but pays cashback in cryptocurrency instead of airline miles or cash. That product processed over $1.2 billion in transactions throughout 2025. Total revenue for the full year came in at $179.6 million, up 26% from the year before, and services revenue more than doubled over the same period. The company is building something that looks less like a pure-play crypto exchange and more like a broader financial platform, one that works even when the crypto market is quiet.
Beyond the credit card, the move that has really captured investors' imaginations is Gemini's push into prediction markets.
Gemini launched its prediction markets product, called Gemini Predictions, in December 2025 after its affiliate Gemini Titan received official approval from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission. This approval was five years in the making; the company first applied for the license back in March 2020. Receiving it placed Gemini in a very small club of fully regulated prediction market operators in the United States.
The early traction is genuinely encouraging. More than 15,000 users have already traded contracts covering categories from crypto prices to politics to sports. In the shareholder letter published Thursday, Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss made a bold pitch for why they believe this could be one of the most significant financial products in a generation. They argue that prediction markets forecast the future more accurately and more quickly than traditional experts, pollsters, or media organizations, and that Gemini is positioned at the center of that shift. It is an ambitious claim, but the regulatory foundation they have built gives them a real head start over most competitors.
When the CFTC approval was announced back in December, GEMI shares surged nearly 32% in a single session. The market clearly sees the prediction markets business as a meaningful growth engine, and Thursday's results confirmed that the product is gaining real users not just the new, shiny thing with a fancy launch.
Focusing On What Works
One of the things investors responded well to on Thursday was evidence that management is making tough decisions to streamline the business. In February, Gemini announced it would be cutting roughly 25% of its global workforce and closing its exchange operations in the United Kingdom, the European Union, and Australia. It is closing those regional operations and partnering with eToro, another regulated trading platform, to help affected customers transfer their assets.
The Winklevoss brothers described the move plainly: those international markets were hard to compete in, and trying to win them was stretching the company too thin. By pulling back to focus on the U.S., where Gemini has the strongest regulatory footing and the largest user base, management believes it can move faster and reach profitability sooner. The restructuring costs around $11 million, most of it in the first quarter of 2026, but the expected savings over time are significantly larger.
The company's full-year 2025 revenue of $179.6 million came in at the top end of its own preliminary estimates, a small but positive sign that the business is not deteriorating further. Operating expenses were higher than many investors would have liked, but the direction of travel looks more controlled heading into 2026 with the restructuring largely complete.
What's Next?
Gemini is not without its challenges. The company is dealing with several class action lawsuits filed by shareholders who believe the IPO documents did not fully reflect the scale of the restructuring that was coming. A management conference call is scheduled for Friday morning, and investors will want straight answers on the legal strategy, a timeline for replacing several senior executives who departed in February, and more detail on how fast the prediction markets business is actually growing.
Still, the picture Thursday evening was meaningfully better than it has been for most of the past six months. The company is generating real growth in non-trading revenue, it has a licensed and operational prediction markets platform at a time when that category is attracting serious investor and user interest, and management is finally showing a willingness to make hard cuts rather than try to compete on every front at once.
Prediction markets as a category have grown explosively over the past couple of years. Platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket have demonstrated real user demand, and regulators under the current administration have signaled a permissive approach to the space. Gemini's CFTC license gives it a compliance advantage that most rivals cannot replicate quickly, and its existing crypto user base is a ready-made pool of customers who already understand event-based trading.
Whether Gemini can fully execute on the vision Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss have laid out is still an open question. But for the first time in a while, Thursday's report gave investors something to point to beyond the headline loss number, and the after-hours market seemed to appreciate that. The stock sits more than 75% below its IPO price, so there is a lot of ground to recover. A rerating like that does not happen overnight. What Thursday showed, at least, is that the foundation for one might finally be taking shape.

Crypto exchange Kraken has launched xChange, a new on-chain trading engine designed to facilitate trading of its tokenized stocks, xStocks, across Ethereum and Solana.
According to Kraken, xChange supports on-chain trading of more than 70 tokenized equities with 1:1 price backing to their underlying shares. To ensure transparency, the platform allows these tokenized equities to track their prices in the public stock market.
As a result, tokenized equities on the xChange platform will track their corresponding prices in the public stock market without the involvement of third-party intermediaries.
The tokenized equity market has grown remarkably. According to a January report from DL Research, it expanded approximately 2,800% year over year, rising from about $32 million in January 2024 to $963 million in January 2025.
In fact, Token Terminal reported that the tokenized stock and equity market reached an all-time high valuation of $1.2 billion in December 2025.
As tokenized equities continue to gain traction, with monthly trading volumes reaching $800 million, Kraken launched xChange to build on this momentum.
By providing a unified execution layer that connects liquidity across Ethereum and Solana, xChange enables users to execute large trades quickly with minimal slippage.
xChange offers atomic on-chain settlement, allowing users to execute trades indivisibly. There are no intermediate states during a trade; orders are either executed in full at the quoted price or not executed at all.
xChange also operates 24 hours a day, five days a week across the Ethereum and Solana blockchains. The benefit? Traders can continue trading tokenized equities beyond traditional market hours.
Launched in June 2025, xStocks are tokenized representations of real U.S. stocks and exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Although they were launched by Kraken, they are issued by Backed Finance.
Although they are not available to users in the United States and the United Kingdom, they are available in more than 140 countries, and their performance so far has been impressive.
Since launch, they have recorded $3.5 billion in on-chain transaction volume and $25 billion in total trading volume across exchanges, with approximately $225 million in tokenized assets held across 80,000 blockchain wallets.


Kraken is making a major push into the tokenization market with its agreement to acquire Backed Finance, the company behind the xStocks product line.
This move gives Kraken full control over a growing category of tokenized equities and positions the exchange for rapid expansion as it prepares for a public listing.
Backed Finance specializes in issuing tokens tied to real world assets, mainly public company stocks and ETFs. These assets are backed by real shares held in custody, allowing users to hold digital representations of traditional securities inside a blockchain environment.
By bringing Backed Finance in house, Kraken gains control over the entire tokenization stack. Issuance, collateral, custody, compliance, and product architecture will all operate under one roof. This eliminates reliance on an external provider and strengthens Kraken’s ability to innovate and scale. The exchange has been building aggressively in Europe and other global markets, and the acquisition aligns with its larger ambition to make tokenized securities a core part of its ecosystem.
Tokenized assets have gained momentum as traders and institutions look for a more flexible way to access traditional financial instruments. The benefit is simple. Stocks can be traded on chain, around the clock, with global reach and fewer barriers.
Kraken’s recent capital raise brought its valuation to roughly twenty billion dollars. The company has been preparing for a public offering targeted for 2026, and expanding into real world asset tokenization helps diversify its revenue streams before going public. Backed Finance already holds meaningful market share in the tokenized equity space, which gives Kraken a strong foundation to build on.
The acquisition formalizes a partnership Kraken has spent the past year expanding. Backed has powered xStocks since launch, supporting products that have now generated more than $5 billion in cumulative trading volume on Kraken.
Interest in real world asset tokenization has surged through 2025, but the sector still faces challenges. Liquidity varies widely across tokenized securities. Some assets trade actively, while others see thin volume. This raises questions about whether tokenization alone can deliver deeper markets.
Regulatory frameworks are also evolving. Tokenized shares do not always offer the same rights as traditional equities, such as voting or regular dividend distribution. As more platforms introduce tokenized stocks, market fragmentation becomes a risk, since liquidity can spread across multiple chains and issuers.
These challenges do not diminish the potential, but they highlight the need for stronger standards, clearer rules, and well capitalized issuers.
Kraken’s acquisition signals that tokenized equities are becoming a long term strategic priority rather than a side experiment. If successful, Kraken could set the standard for a hybrid financial model where traditional assets move seamlessly across blockchain infrastructure.
BlackRock executives Larry Fink and Rob Goldstein recently said tokenization could reshape financial markets as profoundly as the early internet reshaped information.
Kraken's users may gain access to more global equities, greater flexibility, fractional ownership, and always available markets. Institutions may find a more programmable way to issue and settle securities. The industry may see a blueprint for bridging regulated markets with decentralized technology.
The path will not be simple. Liquidity, compliance, and investor protections will remain central areas of focus. However, Kraken’s move shows that major players believe the future of equities includes both traditional exchanges and blockchain based markets working together.
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Coinbase has officially placed BNB (Binance Chain’s native token) onto its asset roadmap, signaling that a future listing is under consideration. At the same time, the exchange is caught in a growing industry dispute over whether centralized exchanges charge hidden listing fees—despite public claims of fee-free listings.
Coinbase’s new roadmap entry for BNB suggests the exchange is shifting closer to the Binance ecosystem, expanding cross-chain asset access. The move aligns with Coinbase’s recent “Blue Carpet” listing framework, which aims for more transparent, merit-based asset onboarding.
BNB’s inclusion may also bring fresh trading volume, liquidity, and user demand to Coinbase, especially as institutional and retail interest in chain interoperability continues to rise.
Despite Coinbase’s assertion that token listings are free, several industry figures have challenged that statement. Andre Cronje of Sonic Labs claims his projects were quoted tens to hundreds of millions in “listing or financing demands” from Coinbase. In contrast, Binance has been accused less frequently, with some claiming it imposes zero fees for listings.
These conflicting perspectives have ignited a broader debate: are “free listings” just marketing, or is there a real cost — whether in tokens, “marketing support,” or required deposits — behind the scenes?
To address concerns, Coinbase recently published a public listing roadmap that clarifies which assets are under review, which criteria apply, and how decisions are made. This framework aims to reduce speculation, discourage insider leaks, and bring more fairness to the listing process.
Still, critics argue the roadmap’s existence does not guarantee uniform treatment. Smaller or newer projects may struggle to meet the high compliance and technical bar, regardless of the stated transparency.
Cross-chain growth: Listing BNB could accelerate bridging, utility, and user migration across Binance and Ethereum ecosystems.
Market dynamics: BNB’s arrival at Coinbase may shift liquidity, trading pairs, and user behavior.
Industry pressure: The listing fee row places exchanges under scrutiny to improve accountability.
Competitive signaling: Coinbase’s roadmap and listing decisions may push competitors to match transparency or reevaluate fee policies.
Coinbase’s decision to consider BNB for listing is a bold strategic move in the evolving crypto landscape. But more than that, it surfaces tension between public claims and hidden practices in how exchanges decide which assets to support. Transparency, equity, and market access are back in the spotlight — and Coinbase’s actions now will shape how the next wave of token listings is handled.